NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated September 23, 2025
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 7 | 42 | 77.8% | 1 | 29.7 | 1 |
| 2 | Matt McEwan | 6 | 42 | 66.7% | 2 | 28.6 | 2 |
| 3 | Mike Thorne | 5 | 42 | 55.6% | 3 | 26.1 | 5 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 5 | 42 | 55.6% | 3 | 26.4 | 4 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 5 | 42 | 55.6% | 3 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 3 | Luke Phelan | 5 | 42 | 55.6% | 3 | 23.7 | 8 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 4 | 42 | 44.4% | 7 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 7 | Nick Boucher | 4 | 42 | 44.4% | 7 | 22.9 | 10 |
| 7 | Andrew Moeller | 4 | 42 | 44.4% | 7 | 26.1 | 5 |
| 10 | Matt Hogel | 3 | 42 | 33.3% | 10 | 23.3 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 10.6 | LA | 0.38 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 11.2 | TB | 0.62 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 7.9 | CAR | 0.69 |
| Matt McEwan | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 12.5 | NO | 0.91 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 8.9 | ARI | 0.55 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 7.2 | CHI | 0.45 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 8.9 | SF | 0.39 |
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 9.5 | ATL | 0.55 |
| Denver Broncos | 1 | 8.6 | CIN | 0.73 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 8.8 | SEA | 0.45 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 9.9 | IND | 0.62 |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 7.7 | LV | 0.55 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 10.6 | PHI | 0.38 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 8.6 | MIN | 0.41 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0 | 4.5 | HOU | 0.27 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 11.6 | NYG | 0.72 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 10.4 | DAL | 0.73 |
| New York Giants | 0 | 4.1 | LAC | 0.28 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 2 | 11.2 | CLE | 0.77 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1 | 7.4 | WAS | 0.45 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1 | 7.5 | GB | 0.27 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 8.5 | PIT | 0.59 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 1 | 10.5 | KC | 0.59 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 7.0 | NE | 0.31 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 7.0 | DEN | 0.27 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 6.7 | DET | 0.23 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 1 | 9.2 | BAL | 0.41 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 11.1 | JAX | 0.61 |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 6.3 | TEN | 0.73 |
| Miami Dolphins | 0 | 5.9 | NYJ | 0.59 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt McEwan | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Denver Broncos | 1 | 9 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0 | 24 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 15 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| Miami Dolphins | 0 | 26 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
Draft Results
